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Old Rocks, New Warming: Questions on a Canyon Road Trip

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Old Rocks, New Warming: Questions on a Canyon Road Trip

Compare past climate changes with today's warming and ask questions that evidence can answer.

Comparing changes

Read the passage and both tables, then answer the questions.

Questions at Vermilion Rim

1Over spring break, sixth grader Imani Castellanos and her uncle Desmond drove to three national parks in the Southwest. At Vermilion Rim, a made-up park based on real canyons in the region, the canyon walls show hundreds of meters of rock layers stacked like pages in a book. Imani kept a journal of questions during a ranger talk and at the visitor center.

2Ranger Farid Lindgren pointed out two layers. One is limestone full of fossil shells and corals, much like animals that live in warm, shallow seas today. Another is sandstone with long, slanting lines like the sides of desert sand dunes. These layers formed over many millions of years. The region's climate changed partly because the continent itself moved: plates drift only a few centimeters a year, but over 300 million years that adds up to thousands of kilometers. A thin layer of volcanic ash shows that a large eruption once dropped ash over the area.

3"Earth's climate has changed many times," the ranger said. "Scientists ask what is causing a change and how fast it is happening." Slow changes in Earth's orbit and in the tilt of its axis help start and end ice ages over tens of thousands of years. The Sun's energy output rises and falls a little in cycles of about 11 years. A very large volcanic eruption can put tiny particles high in the air that block some sunlight and cool Earth for a year or two.

4People also affect climate. Burning coal, oil and gas releases carbon dioxide (CO₂), and clearing forests adds more. CO₂ is a greenhouse gas: it traps heat near Earth's surface. Since 1958, scientists have measured CO₂ in air samples directly. For older times, they measure CO₂ in tiny bubbles of air trapped in ice sheets, some of it hundreds of thousands of years old. Thermometers have tracked Earth's temperature since the late 1800s, and satellites have measured the Sun's energy since the late 1970s.

Table 1. Visitor Center Poster: Changes in Earth's Average Temperature
EventWhenTemp. change (°C)Time it took
End of the last ice age20,000 to 10,000 years agoRose about 5About 10,000 years
After a very large eruptionSeveral recent examplesFell about 0.3, then recoveredAbout 2 to 3 years
Since 19001900 to 2020Rose about 1.2120 years
Table 2. CO₂ in Earth's Air
WhenCO₂ (ppm)Measured in
20,000 years ago190Ice bubbles
10,000 years ago260Ice bubbles
1800280Ice bubbles
1900296Ice bubbles
1960317Air samples
2020414Air samples
1.
Use Table 1. To compare rates, divide each temperature rise by the number of hundreds of years it took. Do not round.

At the end of the last ice age, Earth warmed about °C per 100 years. Since 1900, it has warmed about °C per 100 years.

2.
Use Table 2.

From 1900 to 2020, CO₂ in the air rose by ppm. From 20,000 years ago to 10,000 years ago, it rose by ppm.

3.
Which statement best describes Tables 1 and 2 together?
Question 3 options
4.
Imani saw the ash layer and asked whether volcanoes could explain the warming since 1900. What do Table 1 and paragraph 3 suggest?
Question 4 options

Asking good questions

Help Imani choose and sort questions for the ranger.

5.
Use paragraphs 2 and 4. Sort each of Imani's questions by the kind of evidence that could best answer it.
6.
Uncle Desmond wonders whether drifting continents could explain the warming since 1900. Which question would best test his idea?
Question 6 options
7.
Which question can be answered with the data in Table 2 alone?
Question 7 options
8.
Use paragraphs 2 and 3. Match each factor to the length of time over which it changes climate.
9.
Imani wants a follow-up question that would best help show whether the extra CO₂ since 1900 comes mainly from people. Which question is best?
Question 9 options
10.
Uncle Desmond says, "The limestone shows this place was warm long before people, so today's warming is just another natural change." Do you agree? Write a claim, use data from both tables, and explain your reasoning. Then write one new question you would ask the ranger to test your claim.