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Rain on Snow: Landslide Watch in a Mountain Town

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Rain on Snow: Landslide Watch in a Mountain Town

Use station data to explain how a change in air masses raised the landslide risk.

The valley station log

Read the passage and Table 1, then answer the questions.

Three Days in Cedar Gap

1Cedar Gap is a mountain town in the Pacific Northwest, about 150 km inland from the ocean. Steep, forested slopes rise on both sides of its valley. The town and its numbers are made up, but they are based on real winter storms in the region. The town's hazards office runs a set of earthquake sensors and also watches slopes that could slide. In January, sixth grader Mattias Ferreira spent three days at the office with geologist Dr. Aiyana Whitcomb for a school project.

2Dr. Whitcomb explained that small earthquakes are felt near Cedar Gap a few times a year, but most of the town's landslides happen during long, heavy winter rain. Water that soaks into the soil makes a slope heavier and weaker. In a cold storm, snow piles up on the slopes instead of soaking in. The danger is often greatest when heavy rain falls on deep snow, because melting snow adds its water to the rain.

3An air mass is a huge body of air with about the same temperature and humidity throughout. It takes on the conditions of the place where it forms. In winter, air that forms over the cold interior of Canada is usually cold and dry. Air that forms over the warm Pacific Ocean far to the southwest is usually mild and very humid. The dew point shows how much water vapor the air holds: the higher the dew point, the more water vapor. When humid air is pushed up the mountain slopes, it cools, and much of its water vapor condenses into clouds and falls as rain or snow.

4The office has a weather station on the valley floor, at 600 m, and another on Lookout Ridge, at 1,500 m. A sensor buried in the old slide slope above Fir Street measures how much of the soil is water. When it reads 40% or more, the office warns the families who live below the slope. Mattias copied the readings every 12 hours, from Monday morning to Thursday morning.

Table 1. Valley Station (600 m)
TimeWind fromTemp (°C)Dew point (°C)Precip., last 12 h (mm)Falling as
Mon 6 a.m.North−6−140Nothing
Mon 6 p.m.Southwest−2−415Snow
Tue 6 a.m.Southwest4340Rain
Tue 6 p.m.Southwest9870Heavy rain
Wed 6 a.m.Southwest10955Heavy rain
Wed 6 p.m.Northwest3−210Rain, then snow
Thu 6 a.m.North−5−150Nothing
1.

From Monday at 6 a.m. to Tuesday at 6 p.m., the valley temperature rose by °C, and the dew point rose by °C.

2.
Which change in Table 1 best shows that a different air mass had moved over Cedar Gap by Tuesday evening?
Question 2 options
3.
Use paragraph 3 and Table 1. Where did the air over Cedar Gap on Tuesday and Wednesday most likely form?
Question 3 options
4.
Circle each reading that is evidence that the air over the valley on Tuesday held much more water vapor than the air on Monday morning.

Snow, rain and the slope

Use Table 2, Table 1 and paragraph 2.

Table 2. Lookout Ridge (1,500 m) and the Slope Sensor Above Fir Street
TimeRidge temp (°C)Falling on ridgeRidge snow depth (cm)Slope soil water (%)
Mon 6 a.m.−11Nothing15028
Mon 6 p.m.−6Snow16528
Tue 6 a.m.−1Snow17031
Tue 6 p.m.5Rain14041
Wed 6 a.m.6Rain11546
Wed 6 p.m.−3Snow11844
Thu 6 a.m.−10Nothing11737
5.

From Tuesday at 6 a.m. to Wednesday at 6 a.m., the snow on Lookout Ridge got cm shallower.

6.
Rain or snow fell on Lookout Ridge on Monday evening, Tuesday and Wednesday, yet its snow got shallower after Tuesday morning. Which explanation fits Tables 1 and 2 best?
Question 6 options
7.
Use paragraph 2 and both tables. Sort each event by what it did to the water reaching the slope soil.
8.
Use paragraph 4 and Table 2. When did the office first need to warn the families below the slope, and what was the weather like in the 12 hours before?
Question 8 options

The cold air returns

Use both tables to explain the change and plan for the next storm.

9.
What best explains the changes at Cedar Gap between Wednesday at 6 a.m. and Thursday at 6 a.m.?
Question 9 options
10.
The next week, the forecast app says southwest winds will bring mild, humid Pacific air for two days, with rain up to the top of Lookout Ridge. The ridge has 180 cm of snow, and the slope sensor reads 33%. Which plan fits the data best?
Question 10 options
11.
A neighbor on Fir Street says, "The slope got soaked because the snow on the ridge slowly melted on its own as the days got longer." Do you agree? Write a claim, give at least two pieces of evidence from Tables 1 and 2, and explain your reasoning using air masses.